NFL 2014: Week 4 Predictions Against The Spread

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

*indicates outright upset

Italics are Coach Gottlin’s picks.

Thursday 

WASHINGTON (-3.5) over Giants

Giants (+3.5) over WASHINGTON 

Sunday (Early) 

*OAKLAND (+4.0) over Miami

OAKLAN (+4.0) over Miami

Green Bay (-1.5) over CHICAGO

Green Bay (-1.5) over CHICAGO

HOUSTON (-3.0) over Buffalo

Buffalo (+3.0) over HOUSTON

Tennessee (+7.0) over INDIANAPOLIS

Tennessee (+7.0) over INDIANAPOLIS

BALTIMORE (-3.0) over Carolina

BALTIMORE (-3.0) over Carolina

*JETS (+1.5) over Detroit

JETS  (+1.5) over Detroit

Tampa Bay (+7.5) over PITTSBURGH

Tampa Bay (+7.5) over PITTSBURGH

Sunday (Late)

Jacksonville (+12.0) over SAN DIEGO

Jacksonville (+13.0) over SAN DIEGO

Philadelphia (+5.5) over SAN FRANCISCO

Atlanta (-3.0) over MINNESOTA

MINNESOTA (+3.0) over Atlanta

Sunday Night

New Orleans (-3.0) over DALLAS

DALLAS (+3.0) over New Orleans

Monday Night

New England (-3.0) over KANSAS CITY

KANSAS CITY (+3.0) over New England

 

NFL Week 4 Picks Podcast With Coach Gottlin: The Deli Counter

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

This week Coach and I make our best five picks while dealing with the first round of bye weeks.

NFL 2014: Week 3 Predictions Against The Spread

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

*indicates outright upset

Italics are Coach Gottlin’s picks.

Thursday

ATLANTA (-6.5) over Tampa Bay

ATLANTA (-6.5) over Tampa Bay

Sunday (Early) 

*San Diego (+2.5) over BUFFALO

San Diego (+2.5) over BUFFALO

Dallas (-2.0) over ST. LOUIS

ST. LOUIS (+2.0) over Dallas

PHILADELPHIA (-4.0) over Washington

Washington (+4.0) over PHILADELPHIA

*Houston (+1.5) over GIANTS

GIANTS (-1.5) over Houston

Minnesota (+9.5) over NEW ORLEANS

NEW ORLEANS (-9.5) over Minnesota

Tennessee (+6.5) over CINCINNATI

CINCINNATI (-6.5) over Tennessee

Baltimore (-2.0) over CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND (+1.5) over Baltimore

DETROIT (-1.0) over Green Bay

DETROIT (-1.0) over Green Bay

JACKSONVILLE (+6.0) over Indianapolis

JACKSONVILLE (+6.0) over Indianapolis

Oakland (+14.0) over NEW ENGLAND

Oakland (+14.0) over NEW ENGLAND

Sunday (Late)

San Francisco (-3.0) over ARIZONA

ARIZONA (+3.0) over San Francisco

Denver (+4.0) over SEATTLE

SEATTLE (-4.0) over Denver

*MIAMI (-4.5) over Kansas City

MIAMI (-4.5) over Kansas City

Sunday Night

*Pittsburgh (+3.0) over CAROLINA

Pittsburgh (+3.0) ove CAROLINA

Monday Night

*Chicago (+2.5) over JETS

JETS (-2.5) over Chicago

 

WAR Heros Part II: Players That Went AWOL in 2014

As the MLB season winds down, and the dogfights for playoff positions heat up, here is a look at some stars have disappointed in the Wins Above Replacement (WAR) category and whose teams have suffered for it.

Chris Davis, 1B/3B Baltimore Orioles

The O’s are in first place, but it has had little to do with “Crush” Davis. Yes, 26 home runs is nothing to sneeze at, but when it comes attached to a .196 batting average and .300 OBP it’s far less valuable.

In 2013 Davis appeared to have it all figured out. He swatted 54 home runs, and increased his fly ball rate and his HR/FB ratio. He struck out less than ever, and was more confident about swinging at pitches inside the strike zone. When he did swing at said pitches, they got hammered.

This year, he’s been a different man. He’s swinging less at pitches in the zone, and swinging far less in general. Even worse, he’s making less contact which emboldened pitchers to throw him more first-pitch strikes. All of this has combined with an unlucky .242 BABIP to make him arguably the most disappointing player in the sport this year.

He capped it off by earning a 25-game suspension for testing positive for amphetamines. What a crappy year.  Continue reading

WAR Heroes Part 1: Leading Men Of MLB Postseason Hopefuls

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

As the MLB season winds down, and the dogfights for playoff positions heat up, here is a look at some players, stars or not, that have dominated the Wins Above Replacement (WAR) category and are playing the biggest roles for their contending teams.

Michael Brantley, OF Cleveland Indians 

The Indians are five games back of the second wildcard spot, and in all likelihood will miss the postseason. That won’t be the fault of Brantley, however, who ranks second in baseball in WAR (6.1) behind only Mike Trout.

You can measure Brantley’s success by mostly traditional stats–he’s batted .319 as of this writing and is one home run shy of a 20/20 campaign. He has 93 RBI and 88 runs, and has been a force overall at the plate. That said, there are players with better averages, more home runs, and more steals. So why does Brantley rank just below Trout?

Baserunning. WAR has captured the 6.6 runs he’s added to the Indians on the basepaths, which place him inside the Top 10 in MLB. That’s more than just steals, of which Brantley has 20 against just one caught stealing. That takes into account turning singles into doubles, or being able to take extra bases on simple hits.

Cleveland’s most likely going to miss the postseason–but if they don’t they owe a lot to Brantley.  Continue reading

NFL 2014: Week 2 Predictions Against The Spread

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

*indicates outright upset

Italics are Coach Gottlin’s picks.

Thursday

BALTIMORE (-3.0) over Pittsburgh

BALTIMORE (-3.0) over Pittsburgh

Sunday (Early)

*Detroit (+2.5) over CAROLINA

CAROLINA over Detroit

*Miami (-1.0) over BUFFALO

Miami over BUFFALO

Jacksonville (+6.0) over WASHINGTON

Jacksonville (+6.0) over WASHINGTON

*Dallas (+3.0) over TENNESSEE

Dallas (+3.0) over TENNESSEE

*GIANTS (+2.5) over Arizona

*GIANTS (+2.5) over Arizona

New England (-3.0) over MINNESOTA

MINNESOTA (-3.0) New England

CLEVELAND (+4.5) over New Orleans

CLEVELAND (+6.5) over New Orleans

CINCINNATI (+5.5) over Atlanta

CINCINNATI (+5.5) over Atlanta

Sunday (Late)

TAMPA BAY (-5.5) over St. Louis

TAMPA BAY (-5.5) over St. Louis

Seattle (-5.5) over SAN DIEGO

SAN DIEGO (5.5) over SEATTLE

Houston (-3.0) over OAKLAND

OAKLAND (+3.0) over Houston

Jets (+8.5) over GREEN BAY

Jets (+7.0) over GREEN BAY

DENVER (-11.0) over Kansas City

Kansas City (+11.5) over DENVER

Sunday Night

SAN FRANCISCO (-7.0) over Chicago

SAN FRANCISCO (-6.5) over Chicago

Monday Night

Philadelphia (+3.0) over INDIANAPOLIS

INDIANAPOLIS (-3.0) over Philadelphia

NFL Week 2 Picks Podcast With Coach Gottlin: The Deli Counter

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

Coach Gottlin’s back for the Week 2 picks. We give you five picks each, plus a possible bonus pick. Coach also highlights a Vegas tactic that we don’t fully understand, but plan to keep an eye on.

NFL 2014: Week 1 Predictions Against The Spread

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

*indicates outright upset

**indicates lock

Italics are Coach Gottlin’s picks.

Thursday

SEATTLE (-5.5) over Green Bay

Green Bay (+5.5) over SEATTLE

Sunday (Early)

ATLANTA (+3.0) over New Orleans

ATLANTA (+3.0) over New Orleans

ST. LOUIS (-3.0) over Minnesota

Minnesota (+3.0) over ST. LOUIS

PITTSBURGH (-6.5) over Cleveland

Cleveland (+6.5) over PITTSBURGH

Jacksonville (+10.5) over PHILADELPHIA

Jacksonville (+10.5) over PHILADELPHIA

Oakland (+5.5) over JETS

Oakland (+5.5) over JETS

BALTIMORE (-1.5) over Cincinnati

BALTIMORE (-2.0) over Cincinnati

CHICAGO (-7.0) over Buffalo

Buffalo (+7.0) over CHICAGO

HOUSTON (-3.0) over Washington

HOUSTON (3.0) over Washington

KANSAS CITY (-3.5) over Tennessee

KANSAS CITY (-3.0) over Tennessee

New England (-5.5) over MIAMI

MIAMI (+5.5) over New England

Sunday (Late)

*Carolina (+2.0) over TAMPA BAY

TAMPA BAY (-2.0) over Carolina

San Francisco (-4.5) over DALLAS

*DALLAS (+4.5) over San Francisco

Sunday Night

DENVER (-7.5) over Indianapolis

Indianapolis (+7.5) over DENVER

Monday Night

DETROIT (-5.5) over Giants

Giants (+5.5) over DETROIT

ARIZONA (-3.0) over San Diego

ARIZONA (-3.0) over San Diego

Suicide Picks

Rai Takes: New England over Miami

Coach Gottlin Takes: Philadelphia over Jacksonville

NFL 2014 Predictions And Awards

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

NFC

East: Eagles, Cowboys, Giants, Redskins

North: Packers, Bears, Lions, Vikings

South: Saints, Falcons, Panthers, Buccaneers

West: 49ers, Seahawks, Cardinals Rams

Playoffs (In seed order): Saints, 49ers, Packers, Eagles, Seahawks, Bears

Super Bowl Representative: Saints

Potential Shocker: Vikings

Potential Disaster: Redskins

AFC

East: Patriots, Jets, Dolphins, Bills

North: Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns

South: Colts, Titans, Texans, Jaguars

West: Broncos, Chargers, Chiefs, Raiders

Playoffs (In seed order): Patriots, Broncos, Colts, Ravens, Steelers, Chargers

Super Bowl Representative: Patriots

Potential Shocker: Bills

Potential Disaster: Chiefs

Super Bowl Prediction: Patriots over Saints 

AWARDS: 

MVP: Andrew Luck

Offensive Player of the Year: Peyton Manning

Defensive Player of the Year: Darrelle Revis

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Mike Evans

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Jadeveon Clowney

Comeback Player of the Year: Percy Harvin

Coach of the Year: Sean Payton

 

 

NFL Week 1 Picks Podcast With Coach Gottlin: The Deli Counter

By Raimundo Ortiz (@AroundtheMundo)

The NFL is back, and so is the weekly Deli Counter picks podcast with Coach Gottlin. New format–better format. Enjoy!